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Hazard Risk Scenarios – KADSEMA – Kaduna State Emergency Management Agency

Hazard Risk Scenarios

HAZARD RISK SCENARIO AND
PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS

Multi Risk Scenario

Identified Hazards for Planning Assumptions: Flood, fire outbreak, Ethno-Religious/political crises.

Best Case Scenario

The best-case scenario is that though flooding occurs annually in most communities, the effects are considerably mild with respect to loss of lives.

Most Probable Scenario

Flood in the State affects about 3,000 persons covering 11 LGAs

Worst Case Scenario

Massive loss of lives, destruction of farmlands and property, displacement of people covering the whole state i.e 23 lGAs

Impact

Geographical Areas

Flood

Flood is prevalent in Kaduna North, Kaduna South, Kachia, Soba, Zaria, Sabon Gari, Chikun, Kubau, Ikara, Igabi, Kaura and Kajuru

Ethno-religious/ political unrest

Kafanchan, Kaduna South, Kaduna North, Zaria, Igabi, Jaba, Kaura, Soba, Zangon Kataf

Hazards, Triggers, Early Warning and Monitoring Agencies

Hazards
Triggers, Early Warning monitoring indicators
Relevant Agencies
Above normal (heavy) Rainfall
Weather forecasts, Information flow on the rainy season, observation of rise in river level
NIMET, SMoAgric, NIHSA, RUWASA
Release of water from natural and artificial Impoundments
Alert warning from river basins, alert from EW mechanisms
River Basin Authorities: NIWA, Ministry of Water Resources, Ministry of Agriculture
Inter/intra ethnic conflict
Politicking, nomads/ farmers conflict tribal/ethno and Religious conflicts.
Security Agencies: Police, Civil Defence, DSS, Military
Human Induced
Fire outbreak, road traffic accident, industrial gas leakages and Explosion
SMoH, SMoEnv, KEPA, SEMA
Report an incident

Please, give us as much information as possible to help us respond in time. Thank you!

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